Zambia Likely To Experience Minimal Decrease In Role Of Government Sanctioned Non-State Actors Over Next Five Years

Executive Summary:
Due to low levels of stability, minimal levels of democracy, significant difficulty in doing business, and corruption equivalent to that of a totalitarian state, Zambia retains a score of 1 on the Government Sanctioned side of the non-state actor role potential spectrum. This indicates that it is likely that lawful non-state actors, such as the Zambia Congress of Trade Unions, play little role in the country, due to highly significant government control of the socio-political environment. Unlawful non-state actors also play a role in the country, mostly low level crime, although it is unlikely that terrorist groups are active. Despite measures to combat corruption, it is likely that Zambia will experience a minimal decrease in the role of lawful non-state actors, due to a stagnant economy, a high HIV/AIDS rate, and an ineffective government.

Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9

Discussion:

Overall Scores	Democracy Var.	Doing Bus. Var.	Corruption Var.
Failed States Var.	Geo Dis- NGOs	Geo Dis- Bus.	Geo Dis- Ter Grps.